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Red72
32622.4
30816.2
296017.4
Blue50
168412.7
39716.4
262019.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47450204060807250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
326
Unranked
22.41.3
19.921.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2620
Unranked
19.00.2
18.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2960
Unranked
17.41.3
14.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
397
Unranked
16.40.2
16.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
308
Unranked
16.21.3
12.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1684
Unranked
12.70.2
11.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End