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Red51
121320.9
22621.2
168412.7
Blue58
233717.1
311913.4
30979.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5642020801005158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
Unranked
21.20.1
17.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
2337
Unranked
17.10.7
16.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1213
Unranked
20.90.1
24.824.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3119
Unranked
13.40.7
13.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1684
Unranked
12.70.1
11.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
3097
Unranked
9.20.9
13.614.5
Auto
Teleop
End