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Red36
118822.0
233717.1
26768.4
Blue42
296017.4
81516.5
30979.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46452030405060703642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
Unranked
22.00.4
18.818.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2960
Unranked
17.40.2
16.115.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2337
Unranked
17.10.4
17.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
815
Unranked
16.50.2
14.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
Unranked
8.40.4
8.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3097
Unranked
9.20.2
15.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End