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Red90
9420.8
30224.6
259121.1
Blue22
26768.4
30979.2
168412.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65270204060801009022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
24.61.5
22.924.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
1684
Unranked
12.70.5
9.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2591
Unranked
21.11.5
18.620.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
3097
Unranked
9.20.5
14.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
94
Unranked
20.81.5
18.820.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
2676
Unranked
8.40.5
8.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End