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Red58
24718.4
32622.4
9420.8
Blue6
91029.8
30816.2
160211.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48600204080100120140586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
326
Unranked
22.40.4
18.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
910
Unranked
29.82.6
29.026.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
94
Unranked
20.80.4
15.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
308
Unranked
16.23.2
15.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
247
Unranked
18.40.4
15.816.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1602
Unranked
11.02.6
14.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End