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Red12
102310.1
267311.8
121320.9
Blue102
168412.7
159617.5
6832.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43560208010012102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1213
Unranked
20.91.7
22.420.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
68
Unranked
32.72.4
28.731.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2673
Unranked
11.81.7
12.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1596
Unranked
17.52.4
16.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1023
Unranked
10.11.7
10.38.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1684
Unranked
12.72.4
9.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End