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Red52
285121.8
81516.5
39716.4
Blue32
121320.9
30979.2
160211.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6040020801005232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
Unranked
21.80.3
22.422.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1213
Unranked
20.90.5
20.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
Unranked
16.50.3
17.116.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1602
Unranked
11.00.5
10.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
397
Unranked
16.40.3
17.717.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
3097
Unranked
9.20.5
11.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End