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Red18
4721.6
30979.2
45315.9
Blue76
283219.5
121320.9
32622.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506102040801001201876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47
Unranked
21.61.7
23.221.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
326
Unranked
22.40.8
20.821.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
453
Unranked
15.91.7
17.615.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
1213
Unranked
20.90.8
20.221.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3097
Unranked
9.21.7
10.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
2832
Unranked
19.50.8
18.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End