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Red78
201015.4
103825.5
174725.8
Blue46
86822.1
301019.2
101822.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666550556070757846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.3
25.525.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
22.70.5
23.222.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25.50.3
25.225.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
868
#14
22.10.5
22.622.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2010
#42
15.40.3
15.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
3010
#18
19.20.5
19.619.2
Auto
Teleop
End