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Red70
266512.7
103825.5
174725.8
Blue44
203113.7
88814.4
301019.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454102060801007044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.82.2
15.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
3010
#18
19.28.2
21.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25.52.2
17.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
888
#40
14.40.2
16.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2665
#28
12.72.2
11.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2031
#57
13.70.2
12.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End