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Red60
238718.6
100815.9
217214.4
Blue18
203113.7
20516.2
12011.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413901020305060706018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2387
#11
18.61.6
13.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2031
#57
13.71.7
12.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1008
#37
15.91.6
14.616.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
120
#56
11.21.7
14.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2172
#21
14.41.6
12.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
2051
#59
6.21.7
11.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End