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Red56
29222.7
219719.2
294115.6
Blue59
130816.2
131920.4
101419.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404401001505659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#20
22.71.3
20.121.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
20.41.3
17.618.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
19.21.3
11.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
19.71.3
13.514.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2941
#52
15.61.3
9.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1308
#35
16.21.3
12.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End