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Red56
100118.2
164616.9
291716.1
Blue22
96412.3
176611.4
260314.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342102030506070805622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1001
#29
18.21.2
12.213.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2603
#32
14.61.8
14.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
#10
16.91.2
13.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
964
#38
12.31.8
14.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2917
#19
16.11.2
16.217.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1766
#50
11.41.8
14.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End