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Red22
159013.9
27611.0
46116.4
Blue72
69523.6
201015.4
131716.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39381020305060702272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#13
16.41.4
15.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
695
#8
23.62.7
10.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1590
#58
13.91.4
12.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1317
#17
16.32.7
14.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
276
#36
11.01.4
10.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
2010
#42
15.42.7
13.916.6
Auto
Teleop
End