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Red18
23999.5
88814.4
96412.3
Blue76
29222.7
138612.1
31219.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4544203040506070801876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#40
14.42.2
18.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
292
#20
22.72.6
21.424.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
964
#38
12.32.2
13.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1386
#30
12.12.6
11.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2399
#44
9.52.2
12.09.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3121
#54
9.12.6
12.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End