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Qual 602009 Buckeye Regional
Red24
22524.6
131920.4
199014.2
Blue16
159013.9
238718.6
16435.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47401020306070802416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1319
#5
20.41.8
21.0→19.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
2387
#11
18.62.1
19.0→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1990
#46
14.21.8
16.3→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
1590
#58
13.92.1
14.1→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2252
#41
4.61.8
8.5→6.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
1643
#55
5.42.1
8.1→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—