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Red30
291716.1
138612.1
131716.3
Blue28
266512.7
20516.2
130816.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52350204060801003028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1317
#17
16.31.6
18.717.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1308
#35
16.20.8
16.916.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2917
#19
16.11.6
17.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2665
#28
12.70.7
13.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1386
#30
12.11.6
13.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
2051
#59
6.20.7
7.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End