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Red64
100815.9
159013.9
294115.6
Blue86
45116.2
86822.1
10818.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384802060806486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1008
#37
15.91.9
13.715.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
868
#14
22.13.3
18.421.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2941
#52
15.61.9
13.715.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
108
#22
18.03.1
15.018.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1590
#58
13.91.9
12.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
451
#39
16.23.1
13.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End