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Red75
156124.8
174222.7
200414.3
Blue32
239513.5
237317.2
246920.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5654304050607080907532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.5
22.923.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2469
#10
20.40.6
21.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.70.5
20.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
2373
#13
17.20.5
18.417.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2004
#28
14.30.5
12.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2395
#15
13.50.5
14.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End