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Red56
156124.8
200414.3
174222.7
Blue26
246920.4
237317.2
239513.5
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58522030407080901005626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.0
23.323.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2469
#10
20.40.7
21.120.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.70.0
21.221.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
2373
#13
17.20.7
17.817.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2004
#28
14.30.0
12.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2395
#15
13.50.7
14.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End