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Red42
298611.8
275913.6
246920.4
Blue82
243623.4
216515.9
272314.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424801001504282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2469
#10
20.40.0
16.016.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
23.42.9
17.820.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2759
#34
13.60.0
12.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2165
#19
15.92.9
17.520.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2986
#24
11.80.0
13.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
2723
#29
14.52.9
12.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End