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Red69
242419.2
234315.5
237317.2
Blue49
238214.9
3116.6
277713.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4545203040506070806949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2424
#12
19.22.0
16.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
31
#22
16.60.3
13.413.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2373
#13
17.22.0
14.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2382
#38
14.90.3
17.918.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2343
#20
15.52.0
13.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2777
#26
13.20.3
14.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End