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Red56
235415.8
272314.5
120912.9
Blue62
279313.9
246812.4
3116.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4338102030506070805662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2354
#21
15.81.1
15.616.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
31
#22
16.61.9
13.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2723
#29
14.51.1
14.715.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2793
#33
13.91.9
13.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1209
#48
12.91.1
12.013.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2468
#36
12.41.9
11.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End