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Red30
23887.0
142911.5
233011.2
Blue40
246118.8
239513.5
242419.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34530204060801003040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1429
#45
11.50.5
13.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
2424
#12
19.20.9
18.717.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2330
#43
11.20.5
14.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
18.80.9
17.316.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2388
#50
7.00.5
8.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
2395
#15
13.50.9
14.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End