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Red48
174222.7
142911.5
242419.2
Blue40
276512.6
237617.8
166613.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54450204060801004840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.4
21.821.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2376
#25
17.80.5
18.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2424
#12
19.20.4
17.817.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1666
#44
13.50.5
15.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1429
#45
11.50.4
12.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2765
#42
12.60.5
12.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End