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Red47
282115.2
276512.6
120912.9
Blue52
298611.8
284214.1
233320.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364602060801004752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2821
#37
15.20.7
13.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
2333
#16
20.30.5
19.319.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1209
#48
12.90.8
12.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2842
#18
14.10.5
14.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2765
#42
12.60.7
11.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2986
#24
11.80.5
11.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End