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Red57
200414.3
239513.5
243623.4
Blue62
235415.8
237617.8
216515.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384301001505762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.5
16.217.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
2376
#25
17.81.6
13.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2004
#28
14.31.5
12.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2165
#19
15.91.6
15.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2395
#15
13.51.5
10.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2354
#21
15.81.6
13.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End