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Red40
237617.8
238917.8
279313.9
Blue102
242419.2
246118.8
233320.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4956020408010040102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.3
18.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2333
#16
20.31.0
19.520.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2376
#25
17.80.2
18.017.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2424
#12
19.21.3
18.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2793
#33
13.90.2
14.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
18.81.1
17.919.0
Auto
Teleop
End