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Red36
293518.0
67712.9
155919.5
Blue70
183513.5
155813.3
280916.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513902060801003670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#30
19.50.9
19.218.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
2809
#17
16.27.5
22.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2935
#40
18.00.9
16.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1835
#31
13.52.5
12.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
677
#35
12.91.0
13.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1558
#59
13.31.8
15.116.9
Auto
Teleop
End