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Red69
131022.2
154711.4
160518.4
Blue22
131212.7
124610.7
150324.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51480102030406070806922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#10
22.21.0
21.622.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1503
#15
24.61.8
23.321.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1605
#21
18.41.0
18.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1312
#45
12.72.2
12.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1547
#20
11.41.2
10.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1246
#58
10.71.9
12.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End