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Red81
236115.0
91915.2
238627.4
Blue44
114123.5
86510.4
105311.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49482030406070808144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.42.4
20.923.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1141
#19
23.50.2
22.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
919
#24
15.22.8
14.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1053
#57
11.20.4
15.114.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2361
#43
15.01.7
12.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
865
#55
10.40.4
11.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End