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Qual 62009 Greater Toronto Regional
Red86
124126.1
130519.7
205643.3
Blue76
150324.6
262613.3
121918.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8247020601001201401608676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
43.30.5
38.5→39.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.7
1503
#15
24.61.8
21.6→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1241
#25
26.10.6
22.7→23.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.5
1219
#4
18.71.5
14.4→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1305
#11
19.70.5
16.5→17.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.4
2626
#51
13.32.0
15.4→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—