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Red32
201315.6
18159.1
262613.3
Blue20
91915.2
148212.9
90711.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374702060803220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#16
15.60.3
16.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
919
#24
15.22.2
17.615.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2626
#51
13.30.5
13.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1482
#38
12.92.2
13.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1815
#47
9.10.3
9.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
907
#44
11.62.2
14.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End