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Red70
201315.6
285214.4
111436.9
Blue28
131212.7
7719.3
26707.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73310204060801001207028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#12
36.90.2
38.839.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.2
1312
#45
12.70.7
13.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2013
#16
15.60.2
15.715.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
771
#37
9.30.6
10.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2852
#14
14.41.6
14.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
2670
#56
7.50.7
13.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End