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Red52
159514.7
30249.9
213016.9
Blue54
263516.9
255712.9
289816.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404402060805254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#44
16.91.0
14.815.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2898
#10
16.90.9
12.613.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1595
#51
14.71.0
12.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2635
#22
16.90.9
15.316.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3024
#49
9.91.0
13.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2557
#33
12.90.9
15.516.4
Auto
Teleop
End