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Red34
214712.6
295112.0
35921.6
Blue68
25228.5
198323.9
286519.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394302060801003468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#8
21.60.5
18.017.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1983
#19
23.92.1
18.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2147
#53
12.60.5
10.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
19.22.1
13.215.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2951
#40
12.00.5
11.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2522
#42
8.52.1
10.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End