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Qual 162009 Oregon Regional
Red71
157119.4
182323.3
299015.1
Blue24
177815.6
189115.1
95710.4
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141102030506070807124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1823
#5
23.32.5
17.0→19.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.7
1778
#28
15.61.4
14.3→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1571
#7
19.42.5
11.7→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
1891
#30
15.11.4
15.0→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2990
#6
15.12.5
12.5→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
957
#54
10.41.4
11.4→10.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—