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Red38
213016.9
25228.5
219215.6
Blue30
56814.4
154017.1
273315.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45440204060803830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#44
16.90.6
15.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1540
#32
17.11.2
18.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2192
#11
15.60.6
16.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2733
#14
15.31.2
12.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2522
#42
8.50.6
12.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
568
#15
14.41.2
13.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End