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Red42
214712.6
213016.9
259416.2
Blue68
177815.6
200214.9
281118.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394302060804268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#44
16.90.2
15.215.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2811
#17
18.92.1
18.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2594
#31
16.20.2
13.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1778
#28
15.62.1
12.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2147
#53
12.60.2
10.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2002
#35
14.92.1
11.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End