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Qual 432009 Oregon Regional
Red61
281118.9
113016.4
95710.4
Blue70
295112.0
159514.7
131827.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4646203040506070806170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#17
18.91.3
20.8→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.4
1318
#1
27.22.0
22.4→24.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1130
#50
16.41.3
14.3→15.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
1595
#51
14.72.0
12.7→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
957
#54
10.41.3
10.7→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.7
2951
#40
12.02.0
10.5→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—