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Qual 492009 Oregon Regional
Red50
251714.9
159514.7
75313.1
Blue98
214712.6
95519.9
182323.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4648204060805098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2517
#52
14.90.3
15.0→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.4
1823
#5
23.34.2
21.2→25.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1595
#51
14.70.3
14.8→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.1
955
#2
19.94.2
16.9→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
753
#24
13.10.3
16.4→16.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
2147
#53
12.64.2
9.6→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—