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Red78
84714.3
198323.9
259416.2
Blue16
95710.4
30249.9
254212.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484002060801007816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#19
23.92.6
20.523.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
2542
#48
12.42.1
14.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2594
#31
16.22.6
14.016.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
957
#54
10.42.1
12.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
847
#38
14.32.6
12.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
3024
#49
9.92.1
14.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End