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Red58
247119.1
131827.2
177815.6
Blue2
25228.5
75313.1
156912.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644302080100120582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.3
26.125.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
753
#24
13.13.7
16.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
19.10.3
19.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1569
#43
12.73.7
17.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1778
#28
15.60.3
16.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2522
#42
8.53.7
12.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End