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Red40
251714.9
143213.5
189115.1
Blue44
154411.9
200214.9
56814.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463902060801004044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#30
15.10.4
15.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2002
#35
14.90.3
14.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2517
#52
14.90.4
15.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
568
#15
14.40.3
14.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1432
#23
13.50.4
13.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1544
#25
11.90.3
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End