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Red40
254212.4
263516.9
151014.4
Blue44
154017.1
24118.9
295112.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46350204060801004044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#22
16.90.4
15.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1540
#32
17.10.7
16.517.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1510
#37
14.40.4
15.915.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2951
#40
12.00.7
11.412.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2542
#48
12.40.4
12.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2411
#39
8.90.7
8.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End