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Red52
151014.4
95519.9
182323.3
Blue93
157119.4
289816.9
204623.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58602040801005293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.2
23.523.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2046
#13
23.40.9
23.324.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
955
#2
19.90.2
20.019.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
19.40.9
19.220.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1510
#37
14.40.2
14.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2898
#10
16.90.9
16.817.7
Auto
Teleop
End