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Quarterfinal 2-32009 Philadelphia Regional
Red44
1122.6
31619.0
22229.2
Blue105
139126.5
83418.7
127930.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727505010015044105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#5
29.20.5
29.6→29.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.5
1279
#6
30.70.5
30.4→30.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
11
#7
22.60.5
23.1→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.9
1391
#8
26.50.5
26.2→26.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
316
#27
19.00.5
19.5→19.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
834
#22
18.70.5
18.4→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—