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Qual 112009 Philadelphia Regional
Red34
179114.2
83418.7
163411.6
Blue72
70815.4
29314.8
150734.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34660204060801003472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#22
18.70.3
13.8→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 15.6
1507
#9
34.20.8
29.5→30.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1791
#17
14.20.4
11.7→11.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.2
708
#31
15.40.7
15.5→16.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1634
#46
11.60.4
12.7→12.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.2
293
#49
14.80.7
16.7→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—