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Qual 142009 Philadelphia Regional
Red54
31619.0
25019.9
114319.8
Blue57
108913.4
48612.3
164711.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6240020801005457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#15
19.90.4
18.7→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.5
1089
#18
13.41.0
13.4→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1143
#26
19.80.4
19.2→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.6
486
#39
12.31.0
17.1→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
316
#27
19.00.3
21.0→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.6
1647
#44
11.41.2
12.2→13.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—