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Qual 192009 Philadelphia Regional
Red38
163411.6
32110.6
222914.2
Blue55
31619.0
164711.4
81625.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262020801003855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2229
#34
14.20.5
17.8→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.1
816
#12
25.30.3
25.2→24.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1634
#46Sur
11.60.5
12.4→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.4
316
#27Sur
19.00.3
20.7→20.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
321
#30
10.60.5
14.4→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
1647
#44
11.40.4
13.4→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—